MCO Morning Wrap | AI Bid Holds Through Hormuz Heat Into ISM
Asia closes green on Nvidia's Computex kickoff while oil stays bid on Iran's weekend Hormuz directive. S&P futures +0.3%, Nasdaq futures +0.5%. ISM Manufacturing at 10 AM ET. The session decides whether the AI bid stays bigger than the geopolitical risk.
Oil settled into the open with Brent near 92 and the Hormuz situation still live. Iran's weekend directive on mandatory tanker routes hasn't moved spot as much as you'd expect because peace talk hopes are still in the mix. The US plans to guide ships through the strait, which adds another layer.
European futures point higher with the AI tape leading the way. DAX opens with German bund yields up 4.2 basis points to 2.98. Tech-adjacent names doing the heavy lifting in early trade.
US futures firm. S&P 500 futures up 0.3 percent, Nasdaq futures up 0.5 percent after Friday's records. 10-year yields holding at 4.46. Watch ISM at 10:00: a print at consensus 52.7 keeps the tape neutral, anything materially above or below moves rate expectations.
Asia closed solid. Nikkei up 0.91 percent to 66,934. Hang Seng also positive, up nearly 0.86 percent through the session. The AI demand bid is clearly persistent.
Crypto holding range. BTC around 73,400, ETH near 2,000. ETF outflow streak is the thing to break this week. Gold at 4,670 keeps absorbing whatever macro throws at it.
Today: ISM Manufacturing at 10:00 ET, consensus 52.7. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final at 9:45.
The week kicks off with Hormuz still hot but AI capex doing the heavy lifting. Both threads stay live into NFP Friday.
We'll be watching.